Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Market Will Advance at a 16.8% CAGR

The automotive lithium-ion battery market is estimated to touch USD 18.7 billion in 2023, which will rise to USD 55.6 million, propelling at a 16.8% CAGR, by 2030.

The progression of this industry is because of the surging need for hybrid & electric vehicles and the increasing R&D activities to enhance such battery performance.

Moreover, the strict as well as necessary government guidelines implemented to protect the environment are also aiding the industry expansion.

The passenger car category, based on vehicle type, is the largest contributor to the industry, and it will further propel at a 16.6% CAGR, during this decade. The increasing disposable salaries of customers, swift urbanization, and changing lifestyles are raising the demand for passenger cars across the globe, particularly in China.

The Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) category, on the basis of battery type, is dominating the automotive lithium-ion battery market. This can be because of the surging demand for LFP batteries from electric cars and electric bus makers. This is because these batteries have long lifespans and high energy density as well as thermal stability making them less likely to thermal runaway and overheat.

In 2023, the fully electric category, on the basis of vehicle technology, is the largest contributor to the industry, with a 45% share. This can be because of the enhanced average quantity of batteries employed in fully electric vehicles compared to those in PHEVs and HEVs.

The cylindrical category, based on battery form, will propel at the highest rate, during this decade. This is because of the swift heat loss by cylindrical cells in the discharging and charging, their increasing acceptance in various sectors, and their cost-efficiency.

Europe is likely to propel at the fastest rate during this decade. This is because of the goal set by regional governments to boost the sales of EVs as well as the existence of key automobile businesses in this continent.

It is because of the surging demand for hybrid as well as electric automobiles, the automotive lithium-ion battery industry will continue to progress in the years to come.

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Cathode Material for Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Market Worth US$ 377.8 Mn by 2030

The global cathode material for automotive lithium-ion battery market generated a revenue of $1,744.9 million in 2019 and is predicted to advance at a CAGR of 6.9% between 2020 and 2030. The market is expected to attain a valuation of $3,777.8 million by 2030. The growing usage of electric vehicles, rapid fall in the costs of cathode materials, and the growth of the energy storage battery industry are the key factors driving the advancement of the market.

With increasing environmental degradation and the deteriorating air quality levels in several countries, the deployment of electric vehicles is increasing rapidly. This is, in turn, pushing up the requirement for lithium-ion batteries, which is subsequently causing the expansion of the cathode material for automotive lithium-ion battery market. According to many reports, over 2.1 million electric cars were sold across the globe in 2019 and this number is predicted to rise beyond 130 million by 2030.

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Geographically, the cathode material for automotive lithium-ion battery market would demonstrate the fastest growth in the Latin America, Middle East, and Africa (LAMEA) region in the upcoming years, as per the forecast of P&S Intelligence, a market research company based in India. This is credited to the fact that the total usage of the automotive lithium-ion batteries is predicted to rise from nearly 1.6 GWh in 2019to 7.6 GWh in 2024.

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Market Segmentation by Type

The research offers market size of the global cathode material for automotive lithium-ion battery market for the period 2014–2030.

• Lithium–Iron Phosphate (LFP)
• Lithium–Manganese Oxide (LMO)
• Lithium Nickel Cobalt Manganese/Lithium Nickel Manganese Cobalt (NMC)
• Lithium–Titanate Oxide (LTO)
• Lithium–Nickel–Cobalt–Aluminum Oxide (NCA)

Market Segmentation by Vehicle Type

• Two-Wheeler
• Passenger Car
• Commercial Vehicle

Market Segmentation by Vehicle Technology

• Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV)
• Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV)
• Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV)

This study covers

• Historical and the present size of the Cathode Material for Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Market

• Major factors driving the market and their impact during the short, medium, and long terms

• Market restraints and their impact during the short, medium, and long terms

• Recent trends and evolving opportunities for the market participants

• Historical and the present size of the market segments and understand their comparative future potential

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Boom Expected in Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Sales in Future

The mushrooming requirement for electric vehicles is one of the major factors responsible for the soaring demand for automotive lithium-ion batteries across the globe. As per the observations of the International Energy Agency (IEA), “the global electric car fleet exceeded over 5.1 million in 2018 up 2.0 million in previous year”. In addition to this, the fluctuating prices of oil and gas and the rising environmental degradation caused due to the usage of oil and gas-powered automobiles are further boosting the sales of electric vehicles all over the world.

In addition to the above-mentioned factors, the increasing implementation of favorable regulations and policies by the governments of several countries is also propelling the sales of electric cars all around the world. Furthermore, the provision of various financial incentives and benefits by the governments of many countries on the purchase of electric cars is pushing up the sales of these vehicles, which is, in turn, boosting the demand for lithium-ion batteries as these batteries are extensively used for charging these cars throughout the world.

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Globally, the European automotive lithium-ion battery market will be very lucrative in the coming years, according to the estimates of P&S Intelligence, a market research company based in India. This is attributed to the rising sales of electric vehicles in the region, primarily on account of the presence of favorable government policies. Furthermore, the European Union (EU) has partnered with commercial lenders and battery manufacturing companies for developing an ecosystem that will make the region completely self-sufficient in automotive battery manufacturing in the near future.

The biggest example of such joint efforts is the recent approval granted by the European Investment Bank (EIB) for the provision of a loan worth $392.0 millionto NorthvoltEtt for setting up a battery manufacturing Gigafactory in Sweden. Similarly, the German government is also planning to increase the domestic manufacturing of automotive battery cells in the near future to make the country self-sufficient in lithium-ion battery production. These factors will boost the sales of automotive lithium-ion batteries in Europe in the years to come.

Hence, it can be inferred from the above paragraphs that the sales of automotive lithium-ion batteries will shoot-up all over the world in the forthcoming years, primarily because of the growing adoption of electric vehicles across the world.

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Growing Electric Vehicle Production and Demand Driving Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Market

In 2018, the global automotive lithium-ion battery market reached a value of $24.2 billion and is predicted to attain $74.3 billion in 2024, advancing at a 15.9% CAGR during the forecast period (2019–2024). The market is growing due to the falling cost of battery and its components and rising electric vehicle production and demand. A rechargeable battery which comprises a positive and negative electrode that are contacted by a chemical called the electrolyte is referred to as lithium-ion battery. Lithium-ion is allowed to exchange between electrodes because they are separated by a separator.

In terms of battery type, the automotive lithium-ion battery market is divided into lithium iron phosphate (LFP), lithium nickel cobalt aluminum oxide (NCA), lithium titanate oxide (LTO), lithium manganese oxide (LMO), and lithium nickel manganese cobalt (NMC).  Among these, the LFP battery type contributed the largest revenue share to the market during the historical period (2014–2018), as these batteries are safer than other type of electric vehicles batteries and have a higher lifespan. The NCA battery type is projected to grow at the fastest pace during the forecast period.

The rising usage of NMC batteries in electric cars is a key trend that is being observed in the automotive lithium-ion battery market. While before a large number of electric vehicle manufacturers made use of LFP batteries, in the recent years, the usage of NMC batteries has increased significantly. This shift from LFP to NMC batteries is due to the rising requirement for higher range in passenger cars from a single charge. In addition to this, these batteries are lighter than LFP batteries and occupy lesser space in the vehicle.

When vehicle type is taken into consideration, the automotive lithium-ion battery market is categorized into commercial vehicle, two-wheeler, and passenger car. Out of these, the passenger car category accounted for the largest share of the market in 2018 and is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period as well, in terms of value. This is because the governments in major automobile selling countries, including the U.S. and China, are focusing on producing new energy cars and increasing requirement for fully electric passenger cars with high-range per charge feature.

The surging electric vehicle demand and production is a key driving factor of the automotive lithium-ion battery market. As per the International Energy Agency, the global electric car fleet exceeded 5.1 million in 2018, rising from 2 million in the previous year. Factors such as the rising concerns regarding the environment and fluctuating oil prices are driving the consumers toward alternative to internal combustible engine-powered automobiles. Furthermore, lithium-ion batteries are being considered the standard for modern battery electric vehicles at the present time, as they have excellent specific capacity and energy density.

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Another factor resulting in the growth of the automotive lithium-ion battery market is the falling cost of battery and its components. The prices of lithium-ion battery components, including battery management system, internal wiring, pack housing, internal wing, and pack housing, are reduced considerably and are further projected to decrease in the coming years, thereby making lithium-batteries more suitable and affordable. In addition to this, several automobile companies are investing heavily into pack assembly, which is further making the battery makers to offer lower prices in order to increase their sales.

Hence, the market is witnessing growth due to the rising demand and production of electric vehicles and the falling prices of lithium-ion battery and its components.

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Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Market Business Revenue Forecast, Size, Leading Competitors and Growth Trends

Rising global temperatures have become a major cause of concern, which is being seen as a consequence of burning of fossil fuels for meeting energy needs from time immemorial. Fossil fuels are made of organic matter and their burning releases a huge amount of carbon dioxide and other gases in the atmosphere. These gases are termed as greenhouse gases, as they get trapped into the atmosphere and gradually increase the temperature. This temperature change has not only caused the melting of glaciers and rising of sea levels, it has disturbed the climatic pattern as well, with frequent floods and droughts occurring at the same time in the same country/climatic zone.

Further, the increasing prices of crude oil across the globe, has also motivated governments to find alternatives to conventional energy sources. In the transportation sector, efforts are being made to popularize electric and hybrid vehicles among users. The International Energy Agency reported that the global car fleet grew to approximately 5.1 million in 2018, registering a 2 million increase in sales from 2017. Governments of many countries are actively providing their residents with an efficient and sustainable transport system.

Electric and hybrid vehicles use lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries for storing electrical energy. These batteries are rechargeable and are made of many cells. They are light weight and have a high energy density. Lithium batteries have different structural designs, such as pouch, prismatic, and cylindrical. During 2014–2018, Li-ion batteries with the cylindrical structural design sold, accounted for the maximum cumulative energy storage capacity. In fact, in the coming years as well, they would continue to amount for the highest installed energy storage capacity among all Li-on batteries of different structural designs. The automotive lithium-ion battery market is predicted to register a 15.9% CAGR during the forecast period (2019–2024).

Electric vehicle manufacturers are now increasingly using lithium-nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) batteries, gradually shifting from lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries. The latter were heavier and occupied more space in the vehicle; these shortcomings have been addressed by NMC batteries. Besides being lighter in weight and compact, NMC batteries are capable of providing higher ranges in passenger cars in a single charge. This is due to the greater energy density of these batteries that facilitate a higher vehicle range. Furthermore, the prices of these batteries have reduced significantly, which is further contributing to their acceptance among manufacturers.

Many developed countries have already included electric vehicles in their transportation system and this is yet to be done in emerging economies. With growing environmental concerns, many countries across the world have announced the adoption of electric vehicles in the coming future. For instance, a Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of (Hybrid &) Electric Vehicles (FAME-II) program, was launched by the Indian government in 2019; this is an ambitious plan of the country to popularize and adopt electric vehicles in the near future. Further, in the ASEAN region, Thailand is one of the largest consumers of electric vehicles. In an initiative to popularize these vehicles, the Thailand Board of Investment announced their plans of reducing the excise duty from 8% to 2% on electric vehicles, thereby boosting the automotive lithium-ion battery market, as storage batteries are an essential component of electric vehicles.

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