BEV Category To Grow Fastest in the Electric Truck Market

The size of the electric truck market was 135,632 units in 2023, and it will power at a considerable rate of 34.5% by the end of this decade, to reach a total value of 1,074,084 units by 2030. 

The fuel-based trucks have high maintenance and operating cost, as opposed to the EV trucks. Unlike conventional ones, e- models do not need spark plug replacements, oil changes, fuel filters, and emission checks, subsequent in considerable savings in the costs of components. 

With such automobiles needing less upkeep than their conventional counterparts, the automobile uptime for the former surges considerably, which should profit fleet owners.

The BEV category   will have the fastest growth, at a rate of 38.2% in the future. This is because of the support of the government the form of monetary incentives for the acquisition and expansion of these automobiles, and improvements in tech. Government incentives for these kinds of trucks have been announced in a few nations, with programs and schemes ideal for supporting associated freight equipment and infra.

HDT category will have the fastest growth in the future in the years to come, at a rate of around 39.6%. The fast-expanding global freight transport requirement along with the enormous financial expansion in India and China are the key causes of development.

Furthermore, the HDT category is having a considerable growth in the developed economies, such as the U.S. and European nations, which can be credited to fleet owners' increasing demand for long-haul HDTs that make use of the alternative fuels. 

Moreover, to meet the rising demand and maximizing their benefits from government monetary incentive programs, companies are continuing the HDT production in large numbers.

APAC electric truck market was the leader of the pack with a share of around 50% in 2023. China led the industry for electric trucks in the region. The requirement for the vehicles in China is strongly powered by the favorable initiatives of the government, municipal air quality targets, and national alternative-fuel-vehicle replacement sales targets, and municipal air quality targets.

 It is because of the low operational and maintenance cost of electric trucks, ads opposed to the diesel trucks, the demand for electric trucks is on the rise. This trend will continue like this in the years to come as well.

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Exploring the Booming Electric Truck Market: Manufacturers, and Growth Opportunities

In 2022, the electric truck market registered a sale of 86,799 units, which will witness a 38.2% CAGR to reach 1,154,996 units by 2030, as per a report by a market research firm, P&S Intelligence.

The BEV category is all set to develop with a higher CAGR, of approximately 40% in the next few years. This can be ascribed to the increasing government aid in the form of economic subsidies for buying and developing these vehicles, and enhancements in technology. Government subsidies for these vehicles have been declared in some countries, with plans and arrangements for helping associated freight equipment and infrastructure.

Commercial vehicles are a vital part of the transport sector. To reduce carbon emissions from gasoline-based trucks utilized by fleet workers, the governments of several countries have declared a ban on the usage of diesel-based vehicles. This ban will be effective as early as 2030.

In 2022, APAC had a significant revenue share in the electric truck market, in which China is the biggest utilizer. The requirement for vehicles in the country is majorly boosted by supportive government initiatives, municipal air quality targets, and national alternative-fuel-vehicle replacement sales targets.

The electric truck industry in other regions is still growing and highly hinge on the strategies of the government. The reasonably higher upfront prices, undersized value chains, and existence of few OEMs have restricted sales in these regions. Still, the producers are profoundly investing in the growth of electric trucks, which will drive market growth in the future.

Hence, because of the high maintenance of gasoline trucks in comparison to e-trucks, and the reducing battery prices, the requirement for electric trucks will grow considerably in the future.

 

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U.S. Electric Truck Market to register Robust Growth of 51.6% during 2020–2030

The U.S. electric truck market is expected to generate a revenue of $15,084.3 million by 2030, increasing from $211.5 million in 2019, and the market is expected to witness robust growth of 51.6% CAGR during the forecast period (2020–2030). The market is growing due to the increasing government support for the deployment of electric trucks in the country and the falling process of battery packs. In addition to this, electric trucks are cheaper to maintain and operate as compared to traditional diesel trucks.

On the basis of vehicle type, the U.S. electric truck market is divided into heavy-duty truck (HDT), light-duty truck (LDT), and medium-duty truck (MDT). Out of these, the LTDs are predicted to account for the largest share of the market in 2030, owing to the increasing demand for pickup trucks in the country. In the U.S., LTDs accounted for more than 85% of the sales of commercial vehicles. Other than this, the HDT division is predicted to grow at the fastest pace during the forecast period.

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The rapid deployment of electric trucks in the logistics operations is also a major trend in the U.S. electric truck market. The logistics sectors itself has been registering considerable growth in the country since the past few years, owing to the expansion of the e-commerce industry. With the rising requirement for more-convenient and faster deliveries at customers’ doorsteps, the need for effective logistics has been on a rise. Various logistics companies are electrifying their fleet for making their operations optimized.

The supportive government policies are the major reason for the growth of the U.S. electric truck market. Governments on both the state and federal level have set strict targets for reducing carbon dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions from vehicles. Moreover, in California, which is also the largest market for electric trucks in the country, vouchers and funds are being provided for the purchase of electric vehicles. Up to $20 million are supposed to be provided for the same purpose in the state till 2020.

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In conclusion, the demand for electric trucks in the U.S. is growing due to the favorable government policies and expansion of the logistics sector.

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How are Government Policies Driving the Demand for Electric Trucks?

As the air pollutions levels around the world are increasing, governments of various countries are imposing various policies and taking initiatives for reducing carbon dioxide emissions. The transportation industry is among the key contributors to the growing greenhouse gas emissions, most of the steps are taken in regard of vehicles, for example, the introduction of electric vehicles. Approximately, 200 cities in the European region have low-emission zones and access regulations, with Italy, Germany, and the U.K. at top, at the present time. Due to this kind of regulatory pressure, the sales of electric vehicles have risen significantly over the past few years.

Owing to all these factors, the demand for electric trucks is also expected to increase considerably in the near future. According to a report by P&S Intelligence, the global electric truck market revenue is predicted to reach 1,508.1 thousand units by 2025 and is expected to progress at an 18.5% CAGR during the forecast period. Electric trucks are of different types in terms of propulsion, namely fuel cell electric vehicles, battery electric vehicles (BEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, and hybrid electric vehicles, among which, the demand for BEVs is projected to rise substantially in the coming years.

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Geographically, the Asia-Pacific region has emerged as the largest electric truck market in the past and is further is expected to create the largest demand for these trucks in the near future as well. As is the case with most electric vehicles’ domain, China has been creating the largest demand for electric trucks within the region. This can be owing to the national alternative-fuel-vehicle replacement sales target, favorable government subsidies, and municipal air quality targets. Other than this, the demand for electric trucks is also expected to rise in other regions as well in the coming years because of heavy investments by manufacturers.

In conclusion, the demand for electric trucks has been increasing due to government efforts for decreasing carbon dioxide emissions.  

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Demand for Electric Trucks in US - Business Report 2020-2030

This penetration of electric vehicles in the U.S. is not just limited to passenger vehicles, but commercial heavy duty and light duty vehicles which run on electricity are also being increasingly adopted. Electric trucks have many advantages over traditional fuel-based trucks, such as low operational and maintenance costs, which is why the demand for these trucks in the U.S. is growing. According to a report by P&S Intelligence, in 2019, the U.S. electric truck market reached a value of $211.5 million and is predicted to generate a revenue of $30,335.3 million by 2030, advancing at a rapid pace of 58.2% CAGR during the forecast period (2020–2030).

Electric trucks are of three types, namely heavy-duty truck (HDT), light-duty truck (LDT), and medium-duty truck (MDT). Out of these, the LDTs are predicted to be the most in demand in the coming years. Companies in the domain are targeting fleet owners, who are focusing on reducing their operational expenditure, and are offering them electric variants of pickup trucks. These trucks have different ranges— 0–150 miles, 151–250 miles, 251–500 miles, and >500 miles. Electric trucks in the range of 151–250 miles were the most in demand in 2019, as the preference of class I and II trucks is high.

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In addition to this, trucks having higher range have not yet been able to address issues such as long charging time, high battery weight, and low battery energy density. In terms of propulsion, there are four types of electric trucks, namely fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV), battery electric vehicle (BEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV), and hybrid electric vehicle (HEV). BEVs were most in demand in the past, which can be ascribed to the rising government support in the form of incentives. Moreover, companies in the domain are collaborating with battery manufacturers to bring down the battery cost further and increase their energy density and life span.

Electric trucks have applications in logistics and municipal sectors. The logistics sector created the larger demand for electric trucks in the U.S. in 2019, owing to the swift growth of the e-commerce, retail, and manufacturing industries in the country. Furthermore, the logistics sector itself is registering significant growth in the U.S., which is contributing to the growth of the U.S. electric truck market. As the demand for faster and more convenient deliveries is growing, logistics companies are electrifying their fleet for optimizing operations.

Hence, the demand for electric trucks in the U.S. is rising due to the decreasing battery costs and expanding logistics sector.

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Electric Truck Market to More than Triple by 2023 - Business Data

The main factors driving the growth of the electric truck market are stringent government regulations and incentives aimed at curbing carbon emissions from vehicles. As per P&S Intelligence, the market, by 2025, will register a sale of 1,508.1 thousand units, growing at a CAGR of 18.5% during the forecast period (2018–2025). Electric trucks use an electric battery, either on its own or in combination with an internal combustion engine (ICE), for propulsion, therefore lead to significantly less emissions than ICE trucks.

The electric truck is classified into battery electric vehicle (BEV), fuel-cell electric vehicle (FCEV), hybrid electric vehicle (HEV), and plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV), based on propulsion. Among these, the BEV classification is predicted to display the highest CAGR during the forecast period, in terms of sales volume and value. The reason for this is that as such trucks do not have an ICE, they produce almost no carbon emission.

Governments across the world have formed stringent regulations to check the emission of carbon dioxide (CO₂) and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) from vehicles. Several cities, including Madrid, Paris, and Mexico City, have already announced bans on the sale and operation of fossil fuel-based vehicles. This is impelling the major truck manufacturers to increase the production of electric trucks as compared to conventional-fuel models. Therefore, with such regulations and bans, the electric truck sector would advance across the world.

  

Coming to the vehicle type, the market is divided into light duty (LDT), medium duty (MDT), and heavy duty (HDT) trucks. Among these, the HDT category is expected to grow the fastest during the forecast period in terms of both sales volume and revenue. The reason for this would be the growing demand for freight transportation in countries including India and China. In developed countries, the major factor for the growth of this type in the electric truck market would be its increasing deployment for long-haul logistics operations.

This is substantiated by the fact that of all the primary applications of electric trucks, including municipal and logistics, the latter category dominated the market during the historical period (2013–2017) in terms of sales volume as well as value and will continue doing so in the forecast period as well. Further, on a global ground, Asia-Pacific dominated the electric truck market in 2017 with more than 85.0% sales volume share, primarily driven by the sale of such trucks in China.

Hence, government regulations and support would be one of the primary reasons for the progress of the market across the world.

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