Global CNG and LPG Vehicle Market Set for Lucrative Growth in Future

The global compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) vehicle market attained sales of 56.2 million vehicles in 2019. According to the forecast of P&S Intelligence, a market research company, the market size will reach 102.3 million units by 2030. Furthermore, the market will progress at a CAGR of 5.9% between 2020 and 2030. The growing usage of clean-energy vehicles and the ability of LPG and CNG vehicles to replace traditional vehicles are the main market growth drivers.

Additionally, the low running costs of these vehicles are also contributing heavily toward the boom of the LPG and CNG vehicle market. Automobiles that run on LPG and CNG have lower running costs than the diesel and gasoline-based vehicles. This is because of the lower costs of LPG and CNG than diesel and gasoline. The cost of CNG ranges from around $1.50 to $2.80 per gallon in Europe, registering a reduction of as much as 40–75% in fuel cost.

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Depending on fuel type, the CNG and LPG vehicle market is classified into LPG and CNG. Of these, the CNG category recorded higher growth in the market in the past and it is predicted to demonstrate faster growth in the forthcoming years. This is credited to the burgeoning deployment of CNG vehicles, particularly in the emerging economies of the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. The market is further categorized, based on fuel type, into light and heavy-duty trucks, bus, and passenger cars.

On the other hand, the market is predicted to exhibit the fastest growth in the Latin America, Middle East, and Africa (LAMEA) region in the upcoming years. This will be because of the fact that the emerging economies in this region such as Argentina and Brazil are providing lucrative growth opportunities for the market players, because of the surging purchasing power of the people and the subsequent rise in the per capita spending on personal transportation in the region.

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Hence, it can be said with full confidence that the market will grow substantially all over the world in the upcoming years, primarily because of the increasing public preference of environment-friendly fuel sources and the lower operating costs of CNG and LPG-based automobiles. 

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CNG and LPG Vehicle Market Growing due to Strict Emission Norms

The compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) vehicle market is being driven by government initiatives for their adoption, low operational costs of such vehicles, and strict emission control norms across the world. In 2015, 45,952.4 thousand units of such vehicles were sold, and the sales are projected to grow at a 10.1% CAGR during the forecast period (2016–2022) to ultimately number 88,947.1 thousand. As such vehicles produce less emissions compared to gasoline (petrol) alternatives, these are predicted to witness increasing popularity and adoption.

When segmented by vehicle type, the market is categorized into passenger car, bus, and light & heavy-duty truck. During the historical period (2012–2015), passenger cars dominated the LPG and CNG vehicle market in terms of the total units sold. The reason behind this was the strict emission norms in North America and Europe that are helping curb gasoline vehicle sales and promoting clean-fuel vehicle adoption. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) had set the maximum permissible limit of carbon emissions from passenger cars for 2016 at 225 grams per miles (g/mi).

As per plans, the emissions are to come down to 143 g/mi in the country by 2025. Similarly, in Europe, during 2006–2012, the emission from cars decreased by 160 grams per kilometer (g/km), and it has to come down further to 95 g/km by 2020. Therefore, such strict regulatory framework across the world led to the high sales of LPG and CNG-powered passenger cars during the historical period. Owing to similarly stringent emission norms, light and heavy-duty trucks are expected to witness the fastest growth in the CNG and LPG vehicle market in the forecast period.

The implementation of these norms has not only compelled people to service their old vehicles to meet them, but also promoted clean energy. Governments in several countries are running campaigns to create awareness on the rising pollution levels and ways to tackle them by adoption LPG and CNG as vehicle fuels.

Apart from raising awareness, several countries are taking initiatives to promote clean fuel-driven vehicles. For instance, in Italy, people who use LPG for their vehicles get an excise tax reduction of 58 cents/liter more than that given for gasoline and 47 cents/liter more than that given for diesel. 

Another factor leading to the market growth is the adoption of clean fuel-driven buses. Though CNG and diesel buses cost almost the same, the former emit far lesser amounts of carbon. With the growing number of personal vehicles, a large number of which are still petrol or diesel fueled, the need to reduce pollution is prompting many governments to promote mass transit driven by clean fuels. For instance, in Delhi, India, all buses, whether government or private-owned, must be CNG powered.

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Further, the Russian government announced plans in 2013 to increase the proportion of natural gas-fueled buses to 50.0% of the total buses in the country. As a result of such initiatives and the above-mentioned emission norms, Europe dominated the CNG and LPG vehicle market in 2015. However, Asia-Pacific is projected to grow at a massive pace during the forecast period and overtake Europe in terms of total vehicle sales by 2019.

Therefore, the need to save the atmosphere from harmful emissions will continue to raise the demand for LPG and CNG-fueled vehicles.

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